Draft-Week Buzz
No verified pre-draft news items in the past 30 days for this prospect. See Day 2/3 Team Fits below for projected landing spots and /news.html for the cross-prospect timeline.
Scouting Nugget: UMass transfer; Michigan rotation
Expanded bio coming soon. This prospect is EDGE Rusher #20 in the 2026 class.
Background
Michigan EDGE from Milton (MA); UMass transfer — New England athletic riser.
College Production
2021-23 UMass: 14 career sacks, 30 TFL at G5 level. 2024-25 Michigan: 7 combined sacks as rotational edge.
Scouting Take
Big-framed (6-5, 260) power-edge with length. Pass-rush counter development needed; speed off edge modest.
Draft Projection
Round 6-7. Rotational base DE with size + length bases.
Sources
Our scouting profile is assembled from these primary sources + cross-checked against ESPN (Kiper / Reid / Miller), PFF's 2026 Big Board, Dane Brugler's The Beast 2026, and Daniel Jeremiah's top-50. See our full methodology and citations.
Day 2 / Day 3 Team Fits
NFL teams that lost a same-position veteran this offseason — and could target TJ Guy as a Day 2/3 replacement option.
- VERIFIED Kansas City Chiefs: moved on from Michael Danna (speed-rusher) on 2026-02-23. [verified]
Picks held: R1 #9; R1 #29 via Los Angeles Rams; R2 #40 - REPORTED Miami Dolphins: moved on from Bradley Chubb (speed-rusher).
Picks held: R1 #11; R1 #30 via Denver; R2 #43 - REPORTED Green Bay Packers: moved on from Rashan Gary (power-rusher).
Picks held: R2 #52
Confidence: "VERIFIED" departures cite a publication URL (Spotrac, OverTheCap, ESPN, NFL.com, team transactions page) confirming the move and date. "REPORTED" entries come from public free-agency trackers without a single canonical source we could attach. Fits are archetype-and-position based; we are not claiming the team has expressed interest in the prospect.
NFL Scheme Fit
NFL Scheme Fit
- Hybrid multiple-front pass-rush role
Baltimore Ravens · Detroit Lions · Houston Texans
Scheme matches are bucketed from the prospect's height, weight, and (for WRs) archetype tag against a static lookup of which NFL teams currently run each scheme family.
Rookie Contract & Landing-Spot Outlook
Projected Rookie Contract Value
~$4.3M – $4.6M (4-year deal) · Pick range: #161-200 · ~10% guaranteed
Minimum 4-yr deal + small bonus
Best-Case / Worst-Case Landing Spot
Why: EDGE listed in their top-5 positional needs; runs a scheme that maximizes his profile.
Year-1 arc: Day-1 starter window with cap-controlled rookie-contract production.
Why: EDGE not in their stated top-5 needs; runs a scheme that doesn't naturally amplify his profile.
Year-1 arc: Depth-chart competition + special-teams reps as Year-1 baseline.
Contract band uses the 2026 NFL CBA rookie wage scale projected from the prospect's expected pick range; guarantee % is the slot-default at that pick. Landing-spot best/worst case is derived from TEAMS data (positional needs + scheme overlap minus same-position R1 conflicts) — not a claim that either team has expressed interest.
Versatility, Limits & Roster Pathway
Day-3 NFL Roster Pathway
Day 3 DL projection means rotational sub-package work and special-teams snaps are the realistic Year 1 role; pass-rush production carries the most weight.
Derived from height/weight against the 2026 position cohort and the prospect's projected round. Versatility callouts identify alternate alignments NFL teams have historically used for similar size profiles. Limiting-trait notes flag the single most-cited measurable concern; severity reflects how often that flag ends a Day 1 starter projection. Roster-pathway notes describe the realistic Year 1 NFL role for Day 3 picks.
By the Numbers — 2026 Class Context
- Frame: Among 2026 EDGE prospects, his 6-5 / 260 lbs frame sits at the 100th percentile in height and 85th percentile in weight.
- Position class: TJ Guy is EDGE #20 of 27 ranked EDGEs in the 2026 class. Of those, 3 are projected in the R6 range.
- School pipeline: Michigan has 2 EDGEs in the 2026 NFL Draft class (8 total prospects from the school).
Computed factually from the 2026 prospect class roster — height/weight percentiles benchmark this player against every other ranked prospect at the same position. Recruiting arc compares his high-school 247Sports/Rivals composite to his current projected round.
TJ Guy’s NFL Archetype: Micah Parsons
Micah Parsons (Dallas Cowboys)
Closest EDGE physical profile in the modern NFL: 6-5/260 lbs. Same frame, same role bucket — NOT a talent or career-arc projection.
Note: this is a physical-profile match — frame, position, role bucket. Not a talent or career-arc projection.
Similar EDGE Rusher Prospects
Closest matches to TJ Guy (6-5 / 260 lbs, #20 EDGE) by ranking proximity and physical profile. SIZE MATCH = within 1″ height and 10 lbs; TIER MATCH = within 2 ranking spots.
- Patrick PaytonSIZE MATCH LSU · 6-5/250 lbs · #22 EDGE · R7
- Cian SloneSIZE MATCH NC State · 6-4/260 lbs · #17 EDGE · R6
- Dani Dennis-SuttonSIZE MATCH Penn State · 6-5/260 lbs · #14 EDGE · R2-R3
- Jack PyburnTIER MATCH LSU · 6-3/250 lbs · #19 EDGE · R7
- Vincent Anthony Jr.TIER MATCH Duke · 6-3/250 lbs · #21 EDGE · R7
Michigan & The 2026 Class
More from Michigan
- Derrick Moore · EDGE #13 · R2-R3
- Rayshaun Benny · IDL #10 · R3
- Dominic Zvada · K #1 · R5-R7
- Jimmy Rolder · LB #11 · R5-R6
- Kalel Mullings · RB #13 · R6
Other R6-R7 prospects in the 2026 class
Different positions, same projected draft tier as TJ Guy.
- DJ Lagway · QB · Florida
- Trey Smack · K · Florida
- Ryan Eckley · P · Michigan State
- Taylen Green · QB · Arkansas
- Chip Trayanum · RB · Toledo
- Vinny Anthony II · WR · Wisconsin