DRAFTEDRound 5 · Pick #152 (via From DAL via SF and CLE)Denver BroncosSTEALB

Justin Joly

TE #6 · NC State · 6-4 / 250 lbs
R3-R4
ACTUAL #152

Draft-Week Buzz

No verified pre-draft news items in the past 30 days for this prospect. See Day 2/3 Team Fits below for projected landing spots and /news.html for the cross-prospect timeline.

Scouting Nugget: Two-way versatile

Expanded bio coming soon. This prospect is Tight End #6 in the 2026 class.

Background

NC State TE from Brooklyn, NY; UConn transfer who produced immediately in the ACC.

College Production

2024 NCSU: 52 rec / 546 yds / 4 TDs. 2025: 67 rec / 789 yds / 7 TDs.

Scouting Take

Two-way TE with sideline separation and plus blocking. Below-average athletic profile; less suddenness.

Draft Projection

Round 3-4. Two-way Y-TE starter.

Advanced Stats & Production

2025 PFF grade82.7
Yards per route run2.15
Run-block grade68.9
Contested catch rate54%
Drop rate2.4%

Metrics blended from PFF grade sheets, school box scores, and Combine/Pro Day box scores. Position-specific: QB shows efficiency + turnover rates, WR/TE show route-running + contested-catch, OL shows pass-block grade + pressures allowed, EDGE/IDL show pass-rush win rate + pressure rate, LB/DB show coverage grade + missed-tackle rate.

Sources

Our scouting profile is assembled from these primary sources + cross-checked against ESPN (Kiper / Reid / Miller), PFF's 2026 Big Board, Dane Brugler's The Beast 2026, and Daniel Jeremiah's top-50. See our full methodology and citations.

Day 2 / Day 3 Team Fits

NFL teams that lost a same-position veteran this offseason — and could target Justin Joly as a Day 2/3 replacement option.

Confidence: "VERIFIED" departures cite a publication URL (Spotrac, OverTheCap, ESPN, NFL.com, team transactions page) confirming the move and date. "REPORTED" entries come from public free-agency trackers without a single canonical source we could attach. Fits are archetype-and-position based; we are not claiming the team has expressed interest in the prospect.

NFL Scheme Fit

NFL Scheme Fit

  • 12/13-personnel inline + 6th-OL packages
    Baltimore Ravens · Pittsburgh Steelers · San Francisco 49ers · Philadelphia Eagles

Scheme matches are bucketed from the prospect's height, weight, and (for WRs) archetype tag against a static lookup of which NFL teams currently run each scheme family.

Rookie Contract & Landing-Spot Outlook

Projected Rookie Contract Value

~$5.0M – $8.0M (4-year deal) · Pick range: #65-96 · ~50% guaranteed

Mid-pick band — guarantee % varies pick-to-pick

Best-Case / Worst-Case Landing Spot

BEST CASE: Baltimore Ravens · R3 pick
Why: TE listed in their top-5 positional needs; runs a scheme that maximizes his profile.
Year-1 arc: Day-1 starter window with cap-controlled rookie-contract production.
WORST CASE: Los Angeles Chargers · R3 pick
Why: TE not in their stated top-5 needs; runs a scheme that doesn't naturally amplify his profile.
Year-1 arc: Depth-chart competition + special-teams reps as Year-1 baseline.

Contract band uses the 2026 NFL CBA rookie wage scale projected from the prospect's expected pick range; guarantee % is the slot-default at that pick. Landing-spot best/worst case is derived from TEAMS data (positional needs + scheme overlap minus same-position R1 conflicts) — not a claim that either team has expressed interest.

By the Numbers — 2026 Class Context

Computed factually from the 2026 prospect class roster — height/weight percentiles benchmark this player against every other ranked prospect at the same position. Recruiting arc compares his high-school 247Sports/Rivals composite to his current projected round.

Justin Joly’s NFL Archetype: Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta (Detroit Lions)

Closest TE physical profile in the modern NFL: 6-4/250 lbs. Same frame, same role bucket — NOT a talent or career-arc projection.

Note: this is a physical-profile match — frame, position, role bucket. Not a talent or career-arc projection.

Similar Tight End Prospects

Closest matches to Justin Joly (6-4 / 250 lbs, #6 TE) by ranking proximity and physical profile. SIZE MATCH = within 1″ height and 10 lbs; TIER MATCH = within 2 ranking spots.

→ Full Tight Ends rankings

NC State & The 2026 Class

More from NC State

→ All NC State prospects

Other R3-R4 prospects in the 2026 class

Different positions, same projected draft tier as Justin Joly.

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