DRAFTEDRound 1 · Pick #2New York JetsSOLIDB

David Bailey

EDGE #3 · Texas Tech · 6-3 / 250 lbs
Hometown: Santa Ana, CA
HS: Mater Dei HS
Recruiting: 4-star
R1 top 12
ACTUAL #2

Draft-Week Buzz

Buzz items pulled from beat-writer reports, ESPN/NFL.com transactions, Pro Day recaps, and verified Top 30 visit reports in the 30 days leading into the 2026 NFL Draft. Each linked headline goes to the original source. See our full draft-week news tab for cross-prospect timeline.

6-3, 250-pound graduate of Santa Ana's Mater Dei HS in California — a
perennial national powerhouse. Former 4-star recruit.

COLLEGE: Three seasons at Stanford (2022-24). Nine starts in 11 games as a true frosh,
named True Freshman All-American by 247Sports. Over his Stanford career: 22.5 TFL, 14.5 sacks,
111 tackles, 7 forced fumbles. As a junior in 2024 led Stanford in TFL (8.0), QB hurries (8),
sacks (7.0), and forced fumbles (5). 7.0 sacks was the most by a Cardinal in a single season
since Casey Toohill had 8.0 in 2019.

Transferred to Texas Tech spring 2025. **2025 at Texas Tech: Unanimous All-American +
Big-12 Defensive Lineman of the Year.** Considered to have the best get-off / explosiveness
in the 2026 class.

DRAFT PROJECTION: Round 1 top-12. Jeremiah's #4 overall. Key question: consistency vs the
run — Stanford tape was inconsistent.

Scouting Profile

Combine / Pro Day Measurables (reported)

40-yard dash4.51
Vertical jump (in)37.5
Broad jump10'5"
Bench press (225 reps)22 reps
3-cone drill6.95
20-yard shuttle4.18
Wingspan80.5"
Hand size10"

Numbers compiled from NFL Scouting Combine results, Pro Day box scores, and beat-writer reports. "Reported" means cross-referenced against multiple sources; verify on nfl.com/combine for definitive marks.

College Career Stats

Strengths

  • Best get-off / first-step in the EDGE class
  • Active hands counters inside off the speed-rush threat
  • Disruptive vs the run — finishes plays in the backfield
  • Scheme-flexible: can play 3-4 OLB or 4-3 DE
  • Elite production across 4 college years and 2 different conferences

Weaknesses / Areas to Develop

  • Lanky frame — gets washed out vs power double teams
  • Bend around the arc is good not elite
  • Stanford competition level was a question; answered by 2025 at Texas Tech

NFL Pro Comparison

Will Anderson Jr. — similar twitchy, hand-active speed-to-power EDGE with college productivity-driven projection

Mock-Draft Consensus

ESPN (Jordan Reid) PFF Big Board Jeremiah Top 50 Consensus Avg Realistic Range
#9 #6 #4 #6.3 Picks 4-12

30-day trend: Rising after Combine

Ranks cross-referenced from ESPN's Jordan Reid top-500, PFF's 2026 Big Board top-200, and Daniel Jeremiah's top-50 (NFL.com). Realistic draft-night range reflects projected team fit and trade scenarios, not just big-board placement.

Advanced Stats & Production

2025 PFF pass-rush93.1
PFF run defense78.2
Pass-rush win rate27%
Pressure rate22%
Sacks14.5

Metrics blended from PFF grade sheets, school box scores, and Combine/Pro Day box scores. Position-specific: QB shows efficiency + turnover rates, WR/TE show route-running + contested-catch, OL shows pass-block grade + pressures allowed, EDGE/IDL show pass-rush win rate + pressure rate, LB/DB show coverage grade + missed-tackle rate.

Outcome Range

Scheme Fit

Attacking one-gap 3-4 OLB or 4-3 LDE in a wide-9 alignment; avoid two-gap responsibilities

Pre-Draft Visits

Top-30 visits with the New York Giants, Carolina Panthers, and Buffalo Bills

Signature College Game

2025 vs Houston: 3.5 sacks, 6 TFL — Big 12 announce moment in a Texas Tech blowout

Sources

Our scouting profile is assembled from these primary sources + cross-checked against ESPN (Kiper / Reid / Miller), PFF's 2026 Big Board, Dane Brugler's The Beast 2026, and Daniel Jeremiah's top-50. See our full methodology and citations.

Day 2 / Day 3 Team Fits

NFL teams that lost a same-position veteran this offseason — and could target David Bailey as a Day 2/3 replacement option.

Confidence: "VERIFIED" departures cite a publication URL (Spotrac, OverTheCap, ESPN, NFL.com, team transactions page) confirming the move and date. "REPORTED" entries come from public free-agency trackers without a single canonical source we could attach. Fits are archetype-and-position based; we are not claiming the team has expressed interest in the prospect.

NFL Scheme Fit

NFL Scheme Fit

  • 3-4 OLB / sub-package speed rusher
    Pittsburgh Steelers · Dallas Cowboys · Los Angeles Chargers · Houston Texans

Scheme matches are bucketed from the prospect's height, weight, and (for WRs) archetype tag against a static lookup of which NFL teams currently run each scheme family.

Rookie Contract & Landing-Spot Outlook

Projected Rookie Contract Value

~$20.0M – $52.0M (4-year deal) · Pick range: #1-12 · ~100% guaranteed

Mid-pick band — guarantee % varies pick-to-pick

Best-Case / Worst-Case Landing Spot

BEST CASE: Los Angeles Chargers · #22
Why: EDGE listed in their top-5 positional needs; runs a scheme that maximizes his profile.
Year-1 arc: Day-1 starter window with cap-controlled rookie-contract production.
WORST CASE: Cleveland Browns · #6
Why: runs a scheme that doesn't naturally amplify his profile.
Year-1 arc: Depth-chart competition + special-teams reps as Year-1 baseline.

Contract band uses the 2026 NFL CBA rookie wage scale projected from the prospect's expected pick range; guarantee % is the slot-default at that pick. Landing-spot best/worst case is derived from TEAMS data (positional needs + scheme overlap minus same-position R1 conflicts) — not a claim that either team has expressed interest.

By the Numbers — 2026 Class Context

Computed factually from the 2026 prospect class roster — height/weight percentiles benchmark this player against every other ranked prospect at the same position. Recruiting arc compares his high-school 247Sports/Rivals composite to his current projected round.

David Bailey’s NFL Archetype: Haason Reddick

Haason Reddick (Philadelphia Eagles)

Closest EDGE physical profile in the modern NFL: 6-3/250 lbs. Same frame, same role bucket — NOT a talent or career-arc projection.

Note: this is a physical-profile match — frame, position, role bucket. Not a talent or career-arc projection.

Similar EDGE Rusher Prospects

Closest matches to David Bailey (6-3 / 250 lbs, #3 EDGE) by ranking proximity and physical profile. SIZE MATCH = within 1″ height and 10 lbs; TIER MATCH = within 2 ranking spots.

→ Full EDGE Rushers rankings

Texas Tech & The 2026 Class

More from Texas Tech

→ All Texas Tech prospects

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