Draft-Week Buzz
No verified pre-draft news items in the past 30 days for this prospect. See Day 2/3 Team Fits below for projected landing spots and /news.html for the cross-prospect timeline.
Scouting Nugget: USC transfer
Expanded bio coming soon. This prospect is Quarterback #12 in the 2026 class.
Background
Louisville transfer from USC; former 4-star recruit who backed up Caleb Williams before one year as Trojans starter.
College Production
2024 USC (Jr): 2,555 pass yds, 18 TDs, 9 INTs. 2025 Louisville starter.
Scouting Take
Classic pocket passer with anticipation; plus football IQ. Arm strength below NFL starter threshold; immobile.
Draft Projection
Round 6. Classic backup profile.
Sources
Our scouting profile is assembled from these primary sources + cross-checked against ESPN (Kiper / Reid / Miller), PFF's 2026 Big Board, Dane Brugler's The Beast 2026, and Daniel Jeremiah's top-50. See our full methodology and citations.
Day 2 / Day 3 Team Fits
NFL teams that lost a same-position veteran this offseason — and could target Miller Moss as a Day 2/3 replacement option.
- REPORTED Las Vegas Raiders: moved on from Geno Smith (pocket-QB).
Picks held: R1 #1; R2 #36 - REPORTED Arizona Cardinals: moved on from Kyler Murray (pocket-QB).
Picks held: R1 #3; R2 #34
Confidence: "VERIFIED" departures cite a publication URL (Spotrac, OverTheCap, ESPN, NFL.com, team transactions page) confirming the move and date. "REPORTED" entries come from public free-agency trackers without a single canonical source we could attach. Fits are archetype-and-position based; we are not claiming the team has expressed interest in the prospect.
NFL Scheme Fit
NFL Scheme Fit
- RPO / spread / movement-passer offense
Buffalo Bills · Philadelphia Eagles · Atlanta Falcons · Cincinnati Bengals
Scheme matches are bucketed from the prospect's height, weight, and (for WRs) archetype tag against a static lookup of which NFL teams currently run each scheme family.
Rookie Contract & Landing-Spot Outlook
Projected Rookie Contract Value
~$4.3M – $4.6M (4-year deal) · Pick range: #161-200 · ~10% guaranteed
Minimum 4-yr deal + small bonus
Best-Case / Worst-Case Landing Spot
Why: QB listed in their top-5 positional needs.
Year-1 arc: Day-1 starter window with cap-controlled rookie-contract production.
Why: QB not in their stated top-5 needs; runs a scheme that doesn't naturally amplify his profile.
Year-1 arc: Depth-chart competition + special-teams reps as Year-1 baseline.
Contract band uses the 2026 NFL CBA rookie wage scale projected from the prospect's expected pick range; guarantee % is the slot-default at that pick. Landing-spot best/worst case is derived from TEAMS data (positional needs + scheme overlap minus same-position R1 conflicts) — not a claim that either team has expressed interest.
Versatility, Limits & Roster Pathway
Day-3 NFL Roster Pathway
Day 3 QB projection means the practice squad is the realistic Year 1 destination unless an injury opens a QB3 spot late in camp.
Derived from height/weight against the 2026 position cohort and the prospect's projected round. Versatility callouts identify alternate alignments NFL teams have historically used for similar size profiles. Limiting-trait notes flag the single most-cited measurable concern; severity reflects how often that flag ends a Day 1 starter projection. Roster-pathway notes describe the realistic Year 1 NFL role for Day 3 picks.
By the Numbers — 2026 Class Context
- Frame: Among 2026 QB prospects, his 6-2 / 215 lbs frame sits at the 57th percentile in height and 67th percentile in weight.
- Position class: Miller Moss is QB #12 of 30 ranked QBs in the 2026 class. Of those, 4 are projected in the R6 range.
- School pipeline: Louisville has 2 QBs in the 2026 NFL Draft class (5 total prospects from the school).
Computed factually from the 2026 prospect class roster — height/weight percentiles benchmark this player against every other ranked prospect at the same position. Recruiting arc compares his high-school 247Sports/Rivals composite to his current projected round.
Miller Moss’s NFL Archetype: Tua Tagovailoa
Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins)
Closest QB physical profile in the modern NFL: 6-2/215 lbs. Same frame, same role bucket — NOT a talent or career-arc projection.
Note: this is a physical-profile match — frame, position, role bucket. Not a talent or career-arc projection.
Similar Quarterback Prospects
Closest matches to Miller Moss (6-2 / 215 lbs, #12 QB) by ranking proximity and physical profile. SIZE MATCH = within 1″ height and 10 lbs; TIER MATCH = within 2 ranking spots.
- Sam LeavittSIZE MATCH Arizona State · 6-2/205 lbs · #11 QB · R5-R6
- Gunner StocktonSIZE MATCH Georgia · 6-1/215 lbs · #13 QB · R6
- John MateerSIZE MATCH Oklahoma · 6-1/210 lbs · #10 QB · R5
- Behren MortonSIZE MATCH Texas Tech · 6-2/205 lbs · #9 QB · R4-R5
- Kaidon SalterSIZE MATCH Colorado · 6-2/205 lbs · #15 QB · R7
Louisville & The 2026 Class
More from Louisville
- Jacolby Criswell · QB #18 · UDFA
- Chris Bell · WR #7 · R2
- Caullin Lacy · WR #33 · R7-UDFA
- Jalen McMillan · WR #36 · UDFA
Other R6 prospects in the 2026 class
Different positions, same projected draft tier as Miller Moss.
- Kalel Mullings · RB · Michigan
- Makhi Hughes · RB · Oregon
- J'Mari Taylor · RB · Virginia
- Josh Cameron · WR · Baylor
- CJ Daniels · WR · Miami (FL)
- Kaden Wetjen · WR · Iowa