Carson Beck

Draft-Week Buzz

No verified pre-draft news items in the past 30 days for this prospect. See Day 2/3 Team Fits below for projected landing spots and /news.html for the cross-prospect timeline.

Mock-Draft Consensus

30-day trend: Falling — UCL concern

Ranks cross-referenced from ESPN's Jordan Reid top-500, PFF's 2026 Big Board top-200, and Daniel Jeremiah's top-50 (NFL.com). Realistic draft-night range reflects projected team fit and trade scenarios, not just big-board placement.

Sources

• ESPN Player Page
• Wikipedia
• 247Sports Profile

Our scouting profile is assembled from these primary sources + cross-checked against ESPN (Kiper / Reid / Miller), PFF's 2026 Big Board, Dane Brugler's The Beast 2026, and Daniel Jeremiah's top-50. See our full methodology and citations.

Day 2 / Day 3 Team Fits

NFL teams that lost a same-position veteran this offseason — and could target Carson Beck as a Day 2/3 replacement option.

• REPORTED Las Vegas Raiders: moved on from Geno Smith (pocket-QB).
  Picks held: R1 #1; R2 #36
• REPORTED Arizona Cardinals: moved on from Kyler Murray (pocket-QB).
  Picks held: R1 #3; R2 #34

Confidence: "VERIFIED" departures cite a publication URL (Spotrac, OverTheCap, ESPN, NFL.com, team transactions page) confirming the move and date. "REPORTED" entries come from public free-agency trackers without a single canonical source we could attach. Fits are archetype-and-position based; we are not claiming the team has expressed interest in the prospect.

NFL Scheme Fit

Scheme matches are bucketed from the prospect's height, weight, and (for WRs) archetype tag against a static lookup of which NFL teams currently run each scheme family.

Rookie Contract & Landing-Spot Outlook

Contract band uses the 2026 NFL CBA rookie wage scale projected from the prospect's expected pick range; guarantee % is the slot-default at that pick. Landing-spot best/worst case is derived from TEAMS data (positional needs + scheme overlap minus same-position R1 conflicts) — not a claim that either team has expressed interest.

By the Numbers — 2026 Class Context

• Frame: Among 2026 QB prospects, his 6-4 / 220 lbs frame sits at the 90th percentile in height and 80th percentile in weight.
• Position class: Carson Beck is QB #5 of 30 ranked QBs in the 2026 class. Of those, 3 are projected in the R2 range.
• School pipeline: One of 10 Miami (FL) prospects in the 2026 NFL Draft — but the only QB.

Computed factually from the 2026 prospect class roster — height/weight percentiles benchmark this player against every other ranked prospect at the same position. Recruiting arc compares his high-school 247Sports/Rivals composite to his current projected round.

Carson Beck’s NFL Archetype: Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers)

Closest QB physical profile in the modern NFL: 6-4/220 lbs. Same frame, same role bucket — NOT a talent or career-arc projection.

Note: this is a physical-profile match — frame, position, role bucket. Not a talent or career-arc projection.

Similar Quarterback Prospects

Closest matches to Carson Beck (6-4 / 220 lbs, #5 QB) by ranking proximity and physical profile. SIZE MATCH = within 1″ height and 10 lbs; TIER MATCH = within 2 ranking spots.

• Cole PaytonSIZE MATCH North Dakota State · 6-3/225 lbs · #7 QB · R3-R4
• Drew AllarTIER MATCH Penn State · 6-5/240 lbs · #4 QB · R2-R3
• Fernando MendozaSIZE MATCH Indiana · 6-5/225 lbs · #1 QB · R1 top 5
• Ty Simpson Alabama · 6-2/215 lbs · #2 QB · R1 20-40
• Cade KlubnikTIER MATCH Clemson · 6-2/195 lbs · #6 QB · R3

→ Full Quarterbacks rankings

Miami (FL) & The 2026 Class